“The practical question isn’t whether this is something to celebrate, it’s whether your business is positioned to be a consolidator, an attractive acquisition target or something different.”
By Christopher B. Lynch, Dickinson Wright PLLC
There are a lot of rumors and misinformation out there about what the April 23 federal marijuana rescheduling order means. Some will tell you a story about legalization finally arriving. Others will tell you that not much is changing. But if you look closely, there’s another interesting story emerging: one of careful planning, swift action and targeted consolidation.
Since Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche moved Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved and state-licensed medical marijuana products from Schedule I to Schedule III of the Controlled Substances Act, the businesses that I think are best positioned to take advantage of rescheduling aren’t popping champagne—they’re positioning themselves to take advantage of new first-mover opportunities.
That, more than any headline about “federal legalization,” is the real story of rescheduling’s first year: not a national market opening overnight, but a faster, harder sorting of who survives in the one we already have.
NewLake Capital Partners CEO Anthony Coniglio put it well: “Each year brings predictions of a major M&A wave in cannabis. And so far, each year has mostly delivered tuck-in deals rather than transformative consolidation.”
We’re seeing deals that are smaller, more frequent and often faster with less diligence. Two months after Blanche’s order, the Department of Justice opened an expedited administrative hearing to consider rescheduling marijuana in full, including adult-use. That hearing has now concluded, and a recommendation could come at any time.
But for license holders and investors making decisions today, the more immediate question isn’t when the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) and DOJ finish the bigger rulemaking. It’s whether their business is built to be an acquirer, an acquisition target or neither, in a race that’s already started.
What the order actually does
The April order reclassified medical marijuana that is FDA-approved or state-licensed, moving it out of Schedule I—reserved for drugs deemed to have no accepted medical use —and into Schedule III, the category for substances with accepted medical use and an abuse potential lower than Schedule I or II drugs. Blanche limited the order to medical products, citing U.S. international drug treaty obligations as the reason adult-use marijuana stayed on Schedule I.
Licensed operators got a 60-day window to opt into a priority DEA registration pathway.
Many took advantage of that pathway, and we’re seeing some of the results: in June, Trulieve restructured to separate its 206 DEA-registered medical dispensaries from its adult-use business and became the first U.S. cannabis company to list on the New York Stock Exchange proof that registration can be a path to markets and resources this industry has been shut out of for a decade.
Tax relief under Section 280E—which prevents deductions for operations that sell Schedule I and II drugs—is the clearest near-term benefit of registration, but there are arguments for federal trademark protection and other prospective benefits.
Where the broader rescheduling case stands today
The bigger question of full rescheduling was the subject of DOJ’s separate administrative hearing, which ran from June 29 through July 15. Final briefs were filed August 19, and Chief Administrative Law Judge Derek C. Julius is now finalizing the record ahead of a recommendation.
That recommendation won’t be law; it goes to DEA Administrator Terrance Cole, who, together with Blanche, will decide whether to issue a final rule. There’s no statutory deadline to rely on, so there could be an update next week or next year—and that’s assuming none of the legal challenges cause further delay.
What began as a single petition challenging the rescheduling move by Smart Approaches to Marijuana has become three consolidated lawsuits in the D.C. Circuit, plus a coalition of doctors, activists and the attorneys general of Indiana and Nebraska (Louisiana has since withdrawn).
And if you need proof that of the value of the opportunities that rescheduling can bring, just look to the claims by MMJ International Holdings, which argues it now faces competitors reaching Schedule III for free after it spent years (and significant capital) pursuing FDA approval the traditional way to get a market advantage.
The plaintiffs in the consolidated lawsuits have asked the court to stay the order while the case proceeds. The DOJ opposed that, and plaintiffs filed their reply on July 17. Two operators, MedPharm Iowa and Tri-Mountain Pure, have since moved to intervene in defense of the order.
A ruling granting a stay could freeze DEA registrations and potentially suspend benefits that operators are banking on.
Why “rescheduled” doesn’t necessarily mean “legalized”
If you operate under a state medical marijuana license, hold dual medical and adult-use authorizations or are evaluating an investment in this industry, treat this moment as the start of a compliance project, not the arrival of a legalized market—we still have many more questions than answers.
State law compounds this, since no two states built their systems alike. The right strategy in Maryland may be wrong in Michigan or Washington, and the ground could shift again fast if the D.C. Circuit grants a stay, or if the ALJ’s recommendation or the eventual final rule reshapes the framework.
Some states could tie state licensure to DEA registration—Oklahoma already has, telling license holders to get DEA registration or risk losing their state permits next year.
Layer on top of all that new DEA regulation of license holders, which could mean on-demand facility access and inspection authority, DEA security requirements, mandatory disclosure of employees’ Social Security numbers and potential exposure for co-located medical and adult-use businesses.
This industry could look very different twelve months from now.
Striving for pole position
Rescheduling alone isn’t going to turn leaden cannabis equities into gold overnight, and I don’t think institutional capital is going to dive into the market immediately—that still requires congressional legislation such as the SAFER Banking Act and operators with the earnings and balance sheets to earn institutional trust.
But in the meantime, rescheduling is drawing interest from pharmaceutical, agricultural and consumer products companies that stayed on the sidelines while marijuana sat on Schedule I and well-positioned operators are already using this window to plan restructurings, seek new partners, acquire distressed assets and target new markets.
This is a genuinely significant moment in the fifty-year history of federal cannabis policy, and one that I think will reward careful, jurisdiction-specific planning and analysis.
The practical question isn’t whether this is something to celebrate, it’s whether your business is positioned to be a consolidator, an attractive acquisition target or something different, and the race for pole position is already underway.
As the smoke clears on rescheduling, start preparing now to take advantage of the opportunity.
Christopher B. Lynch is a Member in Dickinson Wright PLLC’s Seattle office, where he practices in the firm’s Mergers and Acquisitions and Cannabis Law groups.
Photo by Kyle Jaeger.
